Riz's Fearless Tony Nomination Predictions

 

Nominations for Tony Awards are announced Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. With three shows that started in Connecticut in contention, and lots of talent from the state, there will no doubt be more than a little local attention of who will -- or won't -- get a nomination.

Predictions? Based on the shows I’ve seen and conversations with industry insiders, here’s my list of those I predict will be smiling on Tuesday. 

Musicals:

Dear Evan Hansen

Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812

Come From Away

Groundhog Day

(if a 5th, Anastasia)

Play: 

Indecent

Oslo

A Doll’s House, Part 2

Sweat

Revival, Musical:

Hello, Dolly

Falsettos

Sunset Boulevard

Miss Saigon

Revival, Play

Jitney

The Price

Six Degrees of Separation

The Little Foxes

(if a 5th: The Glass Menagerie)

Actress Musical:

Bette Midler (Hello Dolly)

Denee Benton (Natasha/Pierre/Comet)

Christy Altomare (Anastasia)

Patti LuPone (War Paint)

Christine Ebersole (War Paint)

 Corey Cost in "Bandstand"

Corey Cost in "Bandstand"

Actor Musical:

Ben Platt (Dear Evan Hansen)

Andy Karl (Groundhog Day)

Corey Cott (Bandstand)

Josh Groban (Natsha/Pierre/Comet)

Bobby Conte Thornton(A Bronx Tale)

Actress play:

Sally Field (The Glass Menagerie)

Allison Janney (Six Degrees of Separation)

Laurie Metcalf (Dolls House, Part 2)

Laura Linney (The Little Foxes)

Jennifer Ehle (Oslo)

Actor Play

Jefferson Mays (Oslo)

Mark Ruffalo (The Price)

Tony Shaloub (The Price)

Corey Hawkins (Six Degrees of Separation)

Kevin Kline (Present Laughter)

 Katrina Lenk (right) in "Indecent"

Katrina Lenk (right) in "Indecent"

Featured actress play

Katrina Lenk (Indecent)

Jayne Houdyshell (Dolls House, Part 2)

Jessica Hecht (The Price)

Condola Rashad (A Doll’s House, Part 2)

Madison Ferris (The Glass Menagerie)

Featured actor, play

Richard Topol (Indecent)

Michael Aronov (Oslo)

Danny DeVito (The Price)

John Douglas Thompson (Jitney)

Anthony Chisholm (Jitney)

Featured actor, musical

Lucas Steele (Natasha/Pierre/Comet)

Nick Cordero(A Bronx Tale)

Derek Klena (Anastasia)

Andrew Rannells (Falsettos)

John Bolton (Anastasia)

Features actress, musical

Mary Beth Peil (Anastasia)

Amber Gray (Natasha/Pierre/Comet)

Rachel Bay Jones(Dear Evan Hansen)

Caroline O’Connor (Anastasia)

Jenn Colella (Come From Away)

 Westport's Justin Paul, co-composer of "Dear Evan Hansen"

Westport's Justin Paul, co-composer of "Dear Evan Hansen"

Of note: 

Pity there isn’t an ensemble award. Contenders this season would be Jitney, Come from Away, Indecent, Sweat.

“Sunday in the Park with George” is not eligible for Tony consideration because producers did not make tickets available to Tony voters because of its limited run.

Glenn Close is not eligible for her performance in “Sunset Boulevard.” (She won a Tony for the same role in the original production.)

Look for a choreography nomination for Denis Jones for his work “Holiday Inn”

“Anastasia” just doubled its chances for a scenic nomination because Aaron Rhynes (projections) is named along with Alexander Dodge for set design.

I hope that the glorious (de-facto vocal) arrangements for In Transit are recognize

I also moved Corey Hawkins up when I learned that he is eligible for leading man in a play. Nathan Lane gets bumped. Sorry, Nathan. And Anthony Chisholm takes Corey's place on my list in the featured actor in a play category.